As of now, there is no tropical cyclone present within the Philippine Area of responsibility (PAR). TS ROKE lurking outside PAR; about 40 km. N of the PAR line. May enter PAR briefly but will exit again. Not a threat to our country.



Meanwhile, Monsoon trough affecting Northern and Central Luzon. The moisture connected with the monsoon trough and further enhanced by TS ROKE covering  much of the country. 



 





 
Northern and Central Luzon, especially the areas facing west, will experience overcast skies with widespread rainshowers and thunderstorms. 50-60mm of accumulated rainfall can be expected in these areas in the next 24 hours. Two days from now, rainfall will intensify with as much as 100mm of rainfall for Region 1 and 60-90mm of rain for Central Luzon. This rainfall may cause some flooding especially in the areas where the soil is saturated; the areas where the flooding has not receded will face the threat of higher flooding. People in landslide and flood prone area should monitor the latest weather updates and be vigilant as well as careful. Always follow the orders of LGU's and other authorities to ensure your safety and to avoid casualties. 


The rest of the country will experience mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. These areas will experience light to a little bit moderate at times. Areas where thunderstorms had formed may expect sudden abrupt heavy rainshower but will not last long.



Albay: Mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshower and thunderstorms. Light rainfall may happen. 30% chance of rain. Temperature range: 23-32°C.

I'll be back on Monday.

-RLM



September 17, 2011. 2:00pm PHT.