Weather Summary:
As of today, there are is an active tropical cyclone inside PAR..

Tropical Storm NONOY [international name: TULAP]

Location of Center:
(as of 10:00 a.m.)		1,170 km East Northeast of Basco, Batanes
Coordinates:24.8°N, 133.9°E
Strength:Maximum sustained winds of 65 kph near the center and Gustiness of up to 80 kph
Movement:Forecast to move Northwest at 15 kph 
Forecast Positions/Outlook:Friday morning:
1,190 km Northeast of Basco, Batanes
No Public Storm Warning Signals Raised

-source: PAGASA

meanwhile, Monsoon Trough still extending across Southern Luzon and Visayas. 


 



credits to: http://asiatcforecast.co.cc
Discussion: TS NONOY [TULAP] is expected to exit PAR today.. actually, as of 3pm (Phil.Standard Time), the low level circulation center (LLCC) of NONOY had crossed the PAR line and is outside our area of responsibility.. TS NONOY is not looking good right now. Its LLCC is detached from its main convection/thunderstorm center.  JTWC estimated the distance to be at 207kms from each other. Given this scenario, TS NONOY will not intensify unless the LLCC develop a central convection. JMA forecast this storm to maintain its intensity (65kph) for the next 3 days. Forecast track is not in good agreement but the most probable scenario, as stipulated by JTWC, is that TS NONOY will continue to move in NWestward direction in the next 2 days with a re-curvature somewhere in the 3rd day.  Since this system had already exited PAR, this will be the last discussion for NONOY.

 

local weather forecast: Southern Luzon, Visayas inc. Palawan and Mindanao is now being affected by Monsoon Trough. Mostly cloudy skies is expected in this places. Light to moderate rain is expected in the aforementioned areas. 


Albay: Mostly cloudy with scattered rainshower and thunderstorms. 70-80% chance of rain. 



-RLM